Sunday, October 25, 2020

too early to call..

No, not the election - seasonal snowpack!
Looks good so far, but that's what cool air and an inch of snow can do. A few thousand percent of normal cannot last long in the Sawtooth mountains, nor can the snow-barrier between the Yakima and Cowlitz basins.

No snow yet, but we just had our first frost this morning - with a low reading of 31.8° it hardly counts but the car and outside fabrics show it's true. We're over seven inches & counting on October rain, two inches above normal. That means October keeps up with Sep as two months that have had no subnormal precipitation in the six-ish years we've lived here. 

On the Coronavirus front, no good news is news. Over 100k cases in Washington and it's doing well, and Cowlitz county is at 800 cases though only seven have died. Things could be far worse - and sadly they will be in a month or so; cases will likely reach 100k daily in the USA before election time. The "blue wave" shown in snowpack won't be reflected in eastern WA or Idaho, but the rest of the country? We shall see!

Friday, October 9, 2020

next wet spell approaches

 We're in October now, and average rainfall needs to be about an inch per week. The first week was .. whatever the opposite of a 'washout' might be. This weekend is expected to drop 1½" upon us though, so times are a-changing. October is definitely quick-change month around here, as highs in the 80s are replaced by those in the 50s - and no doubt the last week is the wettest on average anyway.

and away we go! 7-day forecast

The peaks will be white - for a few days at least, and just on the highest points. Snow season is still a month or so away, so the 'termination dust' will not amount to much. October's moisture is usually more sourced from tropical remnants from the west Pacific more than polar/Arctic air invasions.

post-script
Well that was fun. We overperformed, receiving over two inches on Saturday and slightly more on Sunday, making a 48-hour total (8pm Friday to Sunday) of about 4½". Another inch could arrive in the next 48h, then cooler and clearing for a few days. Mostly that means fog, but it will be nice to get out for a bit!